Sharp 3-wallet NO cluster

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Three wallets, including one with an 88% win rate, coordinated into the bearish side of a geopolitics market just as price snapped sharply lower, suggesting informed conviction worth watching.
Total
$5,113
Trades
3
Analysis
- Three wallets all bet against a US-Iran meeting, with two linked by funding and $5.1k total behind the move.
- One wallet wins 88% of its resolved bets and is up $660k, while the others have traded over $5.2M combined.
- They entered around 7¢ to 18¢ implied No before the market moved to 26¢, showing strong early conviction against a fast rally.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 14¢
Detected April 8, 2026 at 3:44 PM