75% win-rate event specialist

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A proven high-volume trader with a 75% win rate across 291 resolved markets is adding a sizable position in a geopolitics event after tracking 56 related events, making this a credible thesis worth following despite the rich price.
Total
$2,737
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$228,299
Analysis
- This bettor wins 75% of their trades across 291 resolved markets and is up $184k lifetime
- They have traded 75 markets across 56 related events, which suggests a repeatable edge in event-driven markets
- They bought at 90¢ in a liquid market, showing conviction even after a big 1-week move
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 90¢
Detected April 9, 2026 at 12:58 PM