Serial trader adds to No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
A serial, modestly profitable trader added materially to an existing No position in a thin market, though the record does not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.
Total
$1,632
Trades
1
Win Rate
79%
Wallet P&L
+$24,264
Analysis
- Added $1,632 to an existing $1,887 No position; the trade was about 76% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
- The trader has 749 resolved bets and is up $39,092, but its 79% win rate is close to its 87¢ average winning entry price.
- The market has only $3,677 in liquidity, so this sizable addition signals conviction but may be difficult to copy at the same price.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 87¢
Detected October 26, 2026 at 5:50 AM