Profitable serial political trader

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
A profitable serial political cross-market trader with 133 resolved bets bought No at 75¢ in this Hungarian election market, making this a credible follow despite only one trade.
Total
$3,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
73%
Wallet P&L
+$61,199
Analysis
- This bettor has a solid track record: 68% wins across 133 resolved bets and about $59k profit.
- They trade event-related markets repeatedly — 87 events and 124 markets suggest a real process, not a one-off punt.
- They bought No at 75¢ in a liquid market, backing Fidesz-KDNP not to win the most seats despite the contract still pricing Yes at 26¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 75¢
Detected April 12, 2026 at 12:44 AM