Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,746.

Notable Trades

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

$27,510 | Wallet win rate: 100%

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

$6,826 | Wallet win rate: 93%

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

$9,410 | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $546,197
  2. 0xca76...28b3 Yes, $499,833 (76% win rate)
  3. 0x4488...e319 No, $77,500 (54% win rate)
  4. 0x7664...2e50 No, $53,000
  5. 0x629b...995a No, $43,722
  6. 0xea45...284c No, $39,300 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x06be...8615 Yes, $28,000
  8. 0x1220...3490 Yes, $27,154
  9. 0xa093...a53b Yes, $27,128
  10. 0x3006...e9f4 No, $26,523

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

8d$43,746 tracked3 signalsPoliticsWorld ElectionsGlobal ElectionsElectionsHungary ElectionHungary
Yes
31¢
No
70¢

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Notable Trades

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

2h ago

$27,510

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

2h ago

$6,826

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

3h ago

$9,410

Related Theses

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | PolySpotter