15-wallet funded cluster

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
A proven profitable cross-market trader from a 15-wallet funded cluster bought Yes at 45¢, adding coordinated conviction in a sizeable geopolitical shipping market.
Total
$8,286
Trades
1
Win Rate
69%
Wallet P&L
+$256,739
Analysis
- This wallet has won 69% of 354 resolved bets and is up about $279k lifetime
- 15 wallets funded by the same source have been tracked before, pointing to coordinated conviction rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Yes at 45¢ in a market with over $118k of 24-hour volume, suggesting they see normal traffic returning as better than a coin flip
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 45¢
Detected April 12, 2026 at 12:24 PM