4-wallet NO cluster

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Four wallets piled into No as volume exploded and price swung hard, including one trader with a 75% win rate and $3.2M profit plus another with $731k profit across 835 resolved bets.
Total
$12,551
Trades
7
Analysis
- Four wallets all hit No for $12.6k as volume ran 79x normal and the market flipped to 51% No.
- The strongest wallet wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $3.2M; another is up $731k across 835 resolved markets.
- They bought No from 36¢ to 47¢, and one seller dumped Yes at 60-69¢, pointing to a sharp repricing lower for TISZA.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 47¢
Detected April 12, 2026 at 7:28 PM