Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
This Polymarket asks whether TISZA will win at least 54% of all valid national party list votes in Hungary’s 2026 parliamentary election, scheduled for April 12, 2026. The outcome is based only on the national list vote share, not single-member constituency results. Current market activity and smart money signals can help traders gauge sentiment on whether TISZA can clear that high threshold.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,229.
Categories: Elections, Magyar, Hungary Election, Politics, Fidesz, Orban, Global Elections, World Elections, Hungary, Rewards 300 4.5 50
Notable Trades
Profitable new wallet pressing No
An 8-day-old wallet with repeat large bets, early profits, and six prior flags added another sizable position on No in a medium-liquidity political market.
- This 8-day-old wallet has already been flagged 6 times and is up $1,479 on $4,066 invested.
- They bought No at 75¢ in a political market with only $8.8k of 24-hour volume, showing continued conviction.
- The wallet has won all 3 resolved bets so far and already holds 4 positions despite being brand new.
$1,229 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x5942...a678 — Yes, $13,279
- 0x944e...8c94 — No, $5,488 (60% win rate)
- 0xc4fd...fe19 — No, $4,921 (100% win rate)
- 0x6519...611b — Yes, $4,846
- 0x0288...c37a — Yes, $4,055
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $3,778
- 0x629b...995a — No, $3,755 (57% win rate)
- 0x7664...2e50 — No, $3,211
- 0xf2f6...5817 — No, $3,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x0189...cab8 — Yes, $2,541
