12-wallet sharp cluster

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A highly profitable 85% win-rate wallet from a 12-wallet funded cluster is taking a fresh cross-market geopolitical position by effectively buying Yes at 14¢.
Total
$2,415
Trades
1
Win Rate
85%
Wallet P&L
+$1,293,742
Analysis
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.27M lifetime across 1,039 settled bets.
- This wallet is part of a 12-wallet funded cluster, which often signals a coordinated thesis rather than a one-off trade.
- Selling No at 86¢ is the same as buying Yes at 14¢, a cheap entry for a sharp trader's geopolitical bet.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 14¢
Detected April 13, 2026 at 8:42 AM