80% win-rate geopolitical trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with an 80% win rate bought into the bullish side of a geopolitically meaningful market during a major volume spike.
Total
$28,613
Trades
1
Win Rate
81%
Wallet P&L
+$18,002
Analysis
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 157 markets and has traded $1.69M across 97 events
- They effectively bought Yes at 10¢ by selling No at 90¢ in a market that is seeing a 74.5x volume spike
- A $28.6k position is meaningful even in a liquid market, and the topic is one where broad event-trading experience can matter
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 10¢
Detected April 13, 2026 at 10:33 AM