Smart Money SignalScore: 4.0
Smart Money Alert: Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a strong 75% win rate took a fresh $9k position against the market favorite, signaling a deliberate geopolitical contrarian bet worth watching.
Total
$9,025
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$231,321
Analysis
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 241 bets and is up $118k lifetime
- They sold No at 84¢, which is the same as buying Yes around 16¢ on a major geopolitical market
- The trade is large enough to matter but still early relative to March resolution, so it looks like a real thesis rather than last-minute noise
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 16¢
Detected March 25, 2026 at 7:27 PM