Sharp cluster buying No

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Three wallets, including two highly profitable bettors, simultaneously sold Yes on this candidate at 14-15¢, which translates to buying No around 85-86¢ in a deep election market where the price has already moved against him.
Total
$5,299
Trades
3
Analysis
- Two proven bettors are in this cluster: one wins 87% of trades and another wins 79% across 1,004 resolved bets.
- All 3 wallets hit the same side within minutes, totaling $5.3k against this candidate at 14-15¢ Yes.
- This fits a broader cross-market Peru election thesis across 3 related markets with $20.3k traded.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 85¢
Detected April 15, 2026 at 4:38 AM