Profitable thesis trader
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This looks worth surfacing because a moderately profitable, experienced wallet made a large cross-market thesis bet and bought No at 64¢ before the market moved sharply to 88¢.
Total
$6,385
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$39,083
Analysis
- This bettor has 274 resolved trades, wins 69% of them, and is up about $24.8k overall
- They put $6.4k into No and the market moved from their 64¢ entry to 88¢, a strong early markout
- The bet is part of a 2-market event thesis totaling $11.3k, suggesting a deliberate view rather than a one-off punt
Copy Trade
Buy No at 64¢
Detected April 16, 2026 at 2:59 AM