18-wallet profitable cluster

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A profitable serial event trader from an 18-wallet funded cluster sold Yes at 35¢, which converts to a copyable No buy around 65¢ on a politically relevant market with rising attention.
Total
$1,746
Trades
1
Win Rate
69%
Wallet P&L
+$256,739
Analysis
- This wallet wins 70% of resolved bets and is up about $287k across 372 settled markets.
- It belongs to an 18-wallet group funded by the same source, a pattern that often reflects coordinated conviction.
- Selling Yes at 35¢ is equivalent to buying No at 65¢, backing the higher-probability side in a major geopolitical market.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 65¢
Detected April 16, 2026 at 11:50 AM