94% win-rate bettor

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points, made within this market’s timeframe, will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for April 30, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
A bettor with an exceptional 94% win rate and 646 resolved positions just made a meaningful $2,000 No bet that accounted for 62% of recent volume in this market.
Total
$2,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
94%
Wallet P&L
+$75,266
Analysis
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades across 646 resolved markets and is up $68k lifetime
- Their $2,000 bet made up 62% of recent volume, showing real conviction in a quieter market
- They bought No at 72¢ even after the market had already moved 12 points lower today
Copy Trade
Buy No at 72¢
Detected April 16, 2026 at 5:02 PM