Part of: Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,990.
Categories: Economy, U.S. x Iran, Geopolitics, Iran, Hormuz, close, Hormoz, Trump, Oil, Strait of Hormuz
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor buying NO
A profitable sharp bettor with a 76% win rate and strong historical edge is taking a sizable No position across multiple related Hormuz markets, making this worth surfacing despite only one trade here.
- This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $167k across 45 resolved markets
- They beat the odds by a wide margin, winning at average entry prices near 36¢
- They are betting across 3 related Hormuz markets, suggesting a broader event thesis rather than a one-off punt
$2,990 on No | Wallet win rate: 23%
94% win-rate bettor
A bettor with an exceptional 94% win rate and 646 resolved positions just made a meaningful $2,000 No bet that accounted for 62% of recent volume in this market.
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades across 646 resolved markets and is up $68k lifetime
- Their $2,000 bet made up 62% of recent volume, showing real conviction in a quieter market
- They bought No at 72¢ even after the market had already moved 12 points lower today
$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x8495...b6e8 — Outcome 51510386, $15,533 (57% win rate)
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 51510386, $9,388 (82% win rate)
- 0xea79...a9cc — Outcome 73799118, $4,211 (66% win rate)
- 0x5160...b803 — Outcome 51510386, $3,500
- 0x68c2...1711 — Outcome 51510386, $3,436 (57% win rate)
- 0x8af9...c3e8 — Outcome 51510386, $2,628
- 0x4a79...304f — Outcome 51510386, $1,700
- 0xc902...cd14 — Outcome 51510386, $1,494 (54% win rate)
- 0x6c92...1322 — Outcome 51510386, $1,451 (49% win rate)
- 0x8408...5dca — Outcome 51510386, $1,136
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