Sharp wallet in 15-wallet cluster
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
A highly profitable wallet with a 77% win rate joined a 15-wallet one-sided cluster buying No, creating a strong coordinated signal on a major geopolitical market.
Total
$3,450
Trades
1
Win Rate
77%
Wallet P&L
+$1,799,451
Analysis
- This bettor wins 77% of their trades and is up $1.7M lifetime
- 15 wallets bought the same side for $111.7k total, pointing to strong shared conviction
- They bought No at 69¢ in a deep market, backing the 70% view with real size
Copy Trade
Buy No at 69¢
Detected April 16, 2026 at 11:12 PM