$1M-profit event trader

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States agrees to Iran charging fees on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Iran charging fees on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz refers to U.S. acceptance of Iran imposing tolls, transit fees, passage charges, or other mandatory payments on commercial vessels in exchange for transit through the Strait of Hormuz. The United States will be considered to have agreed to Iran charging such fees if: - Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States has definitively agreed to accept Iran charging such fees on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz. - Iran charging such fees is included as part of a treaty or deal formally established between the United States and Iran, including through signing or other formal means. Agreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization, or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will qualify, regardless of when or whether the specified action is implemented. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with nearly $1.0M in profits bought Yes at 10¢, well below the current 18¢ price, suggesting a potentially informed thesis across this event.
Total
$1,683
Trades
1
Win Rate
63%
Wallet P&L
+$1,611,353
Analysis
- This bettor has won 565 of 888 resolved trades and is up about $984k lifetime
- They trade heavily across related markets — 51 markets across 38 events for $1.87M total
- They bought Yes at 10¢ and the market is now 18¢, meaning the position has already moved in their favor
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 10¢
Detected April 17, 2026 at 6:07 PM