Sharp 3-wallet Yes cluster

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Three wallets piled into Yes for over $11k, led by a bettor with an 88% win rate across 179 resolved markets and a long history of profitable cross-market event trading.
Total
$11,171
Trades
5
Analysis
- One wallet wins 88% of its bets and is up $411k, making this a strong lead trader to follow
- Three wallets bought more than $11k of Yes within minutes, showing coordinated conviction at 37¢ to 41¢
- The market had just fallen 11 points in a day, so these buys look like sharp money stepping into weakness
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 40¢
Detected April 19, 2026 at 12:27 PM