Coordinated FlowScore: 10.1

Sharp 3-wallet Yes cluster

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

Three wallets piled into Yes for over $11k, led by a bettor with an 88% win rate across 179 resolved markets and a long history of profitable cross-market event trading.

Total

$11,171

Trades

5

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy Yes at 40¢

Iran CeasefireIranGeopoliticsMiddle EastU.S. x IranIsraelWorld
View all alerts for US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Detected April 19, 2026 at 12:27 PM

Sharp 3-wallet Yes cluster | PolySpotter