14-wallet sharp cluster

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A highly profitable 85% win-rate trader from a 14-wallet funded cluster is effectively buying Yes at 39¢ on a major geopolitics market, making this a follow-worthy directional signal despite modest size.
Total
$1,208
Trades
1
Win Rate
85%
Wallet P&L
+$1,293,742
Analysis
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.25M lifetime across more than 1,000 bets
- The wallet is part of a 14-wallet funded cluster, which often signals one actor spreading a thesis across accounts
- Selling No at 61¢ is effectively a buy on Yes at 39¢, near the current ask in a liquid geopolitics market
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 39¢
Detected April 20, 2026 at 10:30 PM