Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share?
2 signals across 1 market · $4,096 tracked · resolves Sep 20, 2026
This Berlin State Election prediction market tracks whether Grüne will receive less than 14% of valid second votes in the September 20, 2026 election. PolySpotter is monitoring the market’s smart money activity, including a recent large quiet-market No bet signal.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Large quiet-market No bet
A nearly market-defining $2.9K No bet in an extremely quiet market is notable, though the trader's middling 56% win rate limits the copying case.
$1,193Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 3.3 - Large quiet-market No bet
A nearly market-defining $2.9K No bet in an extremely quiet market is notable, though the trader's middling 56% win rate limits the copying case.
$2,903Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 2.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xb1ca90…1705$4,096 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 55% wins
FAQs
What are the Berlin Grüne vote share odds?
The market tracks the probability that Grüne will win less than 14% of all valid second votes in Berlin’s September 20, 2026 state election. Check the live Polymarket price for the latest odds.
What is this Berlin election prediction market about?
This event covers Grüne’s vote share in the Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, specifically whether the party receives under 14% of valid Zweitstimme votes.
What is smart money doing in the Grüne vote share market?
PolySpotter has recorded one smart money signal for this event: a large quiet-market No bet. This indicates notable activity on the outcome that Grüne will not stay below the 14% threshold.
When does the Berlin Grüne market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve by September 20, 2026, based on Grüne’s official percentage of valid second votes in the Berlin state election.