Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
11 signals across 3 markets · $37,173 tracked · resolves Oct 5, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for who will finish third in the first round of Brazil’s 2026 presidential election. The current child market focuses on whether Renan Santos will receive the third-most valid votes, with PolySpotter tracking $2,000 in smart money activity and a recent signal from a 97% win-rate bettor.
Markets (3)
- Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?7 signals · $17,718 tracked
- Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?2 signals · $14,507 tracked
- Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?2 signals · $4,948 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Proven bettor makes $10K No bet
A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate and a large long-term track record has placed a $10.2K bet on No, alongside a history of trading across 100 events.
$10,194Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 5.9 - Large holder adds after breakout
A $3,046 add to an existing Yes position coincided with a sharp breakout beyond the market’s prior price range, though the wallet’s track record is not especially strong.
$3,046Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 5.0 - Proven serial bettor buys Yes
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is buying Yes at 46¢ in a presidential-election market.
$6,747Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.9 - Proven serial bettor buys Yes
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is buying Yes at 46¢ in a presidential-election market.
$1,300Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.9 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable bettor with 330 resolved positions and an 81% win rate is taking a fresh $4,313 No position while trading across markets in the same election event.
$4,313Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.9 - 81% winner re-enters at 31¢
A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate is making a fresh $2,376 Yes bet at 31¢ after previously closing a larger position.
$2,376Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.9 - Profitable serial cross-market trader
A consistently profitable, highly active trader with 9,538 resolved bets is taking a fresh Yes-equivalent position, though the single trade is modest and the event is far from resolution.
$1,542Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 3.4 - Profitable serial cross-market trader
A consistently profitable, highly active trader with 9,538 resolved bets is taking a fresh Yes-equivalent position, though the single trade is modest and the event is far from resolution.
$1,534Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 3.4 - Profitable serial cross-market trader
A consistently profitable, highly active trader with 9,538 resolved bets is taking a fresh Yes-equivalent position, though the single trade is modest and the event is far from resolution.
$1,173Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 3.4 - 97% win-rate bettor
A wallet with an exceptional 97% win rate just supplied nearly all of this market’s 24h volume with a $2,000 bet on No, making it a notable sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x23d81b…0288$24,930 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x3dda02…8799$4,948 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0x122cb9…fbed$4,249 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 66% wins
- 0x2b9dbf…adc0$3,046 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Brazil’s 2026 presidential third-place finish?
This event shows Polymarket-style odds for the third-place outcome in the first round of Brazil’s 2026 presidential election. The listed market currently centers on whether Renan Santos will finish third by valid vote count.
Is Renan Santos expected to finish third in the 2026 Brazil election?
The market lets traders buy and sell shares based on whether Renan Santos finishes third in the first round. PolySpotter highlights smart money activity around this outcome, including a recent alert tied to a 97% win-rate bettor.
What is the smart money doing on this Brazil election market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,000 in smart money across this event and one smart money signal so far. The notable recent alert came from a bettor with a 97% win rate, which may be useful context when evaluating market movement.
How does this Brazil presidential election market resolve?
The event resolves based on which listed candidate receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of Brazil’s presidential election. If candidates are tied on valid votes, the market rules break ties alphabetically by last name.
When does the Brazil 2026 third-place market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the first round of Brazil’s presidential election, currently listed for October 4, 2026, once the relevant valid vote totals are known.