Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
7 signals across 1 market · $23,028 tracked · resolves Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 10-wallet funded cluster
A 10-wallet funded cluster is still deploying into Yes on a fast-rising geopolitics market, which is notable coordinated conviction despite this wallet having no proven track record yet.
$1,999Wallet win rate: 0%Score: 11.5 - Proven trader reloading NO
A proven high-volume trader with a 74% win rate reopened a sizable No position during an extreme volume spike, signaling fresh conviction even after previously closing this market.
$7,734Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 6.8 - Sharp geopolitical grinder
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 72% win rate bought No at 90% in a geopolitics market, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite only one detection flag.
$2,700Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 4.0 - 76% win-rate macro bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 76% win rate bought No at 90¢ on a geopolitics market, making this a credible sharp-style position worth tracking despite only a moderate alert score.
$2,797Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 4.0 - 94% win-rate bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and strong edge is taking a fresh No position in a geopolitics market with meaningful liquidity and recent momentum.
$1,600Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.0 - 94% winner flips toward Yes
A highly proven wallet with a 94% win rate is reducing its No position here, which converts to a buy signal on Yes around 25¢ despite weak standalone alert size.
$1,709Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.0 - 98% win-rate bettor
A bettor flagged with an exceptional long-term record bought No at 60¢ in a major geopolitics market that has recently surged, making this a credible sharp-flow signal despite only one trade.
$4,489Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x35bbba…009b$10,531 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 74% wins
- 0x136a5f…88ee$4,489 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x5fdf53…28a2$3,309 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
- 0xe73874…df65$2,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0x6d8ce0…cf02$1,999 · 1 market · 1 alert · 0% wins