Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
7 signals across 1 market · $23,028 tracked · resolves Apr 30, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Iran publicly agrees to end all uranium enrichment by April 30, 2026, including through a unilateral pledge or a deal with the U.S. or Israel. PolySpotter is tracking $23,028 in smart money across 7 signals, including activity from a proven trader reloading NO, a sharp geopolitical grinder, and high win-rate macro bettors.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 10-wallet funded cluster
A 10-wallet funded cluster is still deploying into Yes on a fast-rising geopolitics market, which is notable coordinated conviction despite this wallet having no proven track record yet.
$1,999Wallet win rate: 0%Score: 11.5 - Proven trader reloading NO
A proven high-volume trader with a 74% win rate reopened a sizable No position during an extreme volume spike, signaling fresh conviction even after previously closing this market.
$7,734Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 6.8 - Sharp geopolitical grinder
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 72% win rate bought No at 90% in a geopolitics market, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite only one detection flag.
$2,700Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 4.0 - 76% win-rate macro bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 76% win rate bought No at 90¢ on a geopolitics market, making this a credible sharp-style position worth tracking despite only a moderate alert score.
$2,797Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.0 - 94% win-rate bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and strong edge is taking a fresh No position in a geopolitics market with meaningful liquidity and recent momentum.
$1,600Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.0 - 94% winner flips toward Yes
A highly proven wallet with a 94% win rate is reducing its No position here, which converts to a buy signal on Yes around 25¢ despite weak standalone alert size.
$1,709Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.0 - 98% win-rate bettor
A bettor flagged with an exceptional long-term record bought No at 60¢ in a major geopolitics market that has recently surged, making this a credible sharp-flow signal despite only one trade.
$4,489Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x35bbba…009b$10,531 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 72% wins
- 0x136a5f…88ee$4,489 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x5fdf53…28a2$3,309 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
- 0xe73874…df65$2,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0x6d8ce0…cf02$1,999 · 1 market · 1 alert · 0% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Iran agrees to end uranium enrichment by April 30?
The live Polymarket price reflects the market-implied odds that Iran will publicly agree to end all uranium enrichment by the April 30, 2026 deadline. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money flows so you can see whether experienced traders are leaning Yes or No.
What does this Iran uranium enrichment prediction market resolve on?
The market resolves Yes if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The pledge can be unilateral or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel, and it qualifies even if the agreement takes effect later.
What is the smart money doing on this market?
PolySpotter has tracked $23,028 in smart money and 7 signals on this event. Recent alerts include a proven trader reloading NO, a sharp geopolitical grinder, a 76% win-rate macro bettor, a 94% win-rate bettor, and a 10-wallet funded cluster.
Who is betting on the Iran enrichment market?
The tracked activity includes wallets associated with geopolitical and macro trading, including high win-rate bettors and clustered funded accounts. These signals can help identify whether experienced Polymarket participants are accumulating one side of the trade.
When does the Iran uranium enrichment market resolve?
This event is scheduled around the April 30, 2026 deadline. If Iran has not publicly agreed to end all uranium enrichment by the cutoff, the market resolves No.