Event

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

1 signal across 1 market · $10,416 tracked · resolves Jul 31, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Iran publicly agrees to end all uranium enrichment by July 31, 2026, either unilaterally or as part of a deal with the U.S. or Israel. Traders are pricing the Yes/No outcome around a major Iran nuclear negotiation question, with PolySpotter currently flagging a three-wallet smart-money cluster on No.

Markets (1)

  1. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?1 signal · $10,416 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Three-wallet No cluster

    Three wallets bought $10.4k of No during a 419x volume spike on a geopolitically sensitive market, with two wallets showing meaningful positive P&L histories.

    $10,416Score: 7.2

More on this event

FAQs

What are the odds Iran agrees to end uranium enrichment by July 31?

The live Polymarket odds reflect how traders are pricing the chance that Iran publicly commits to ending all uranium enrichment by the July 31, 2026 deadline. Check the event page for the latest Yes and No prices.

What does the Iran uranium enrichment market resolve on?

It resolves Yes if Iran publicly agrees to end all uranium enrichment by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying pledge can be unilateral or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel; otherwise, it resolves No.

What is the smart money doing on this event?

PolySpotter has tracked $10,416 in smart money activity across this event and flagged one recent signal: a three-wallet cluster taking the No side.

Is this a Polymarket prediction market on Iran nuclear talks?

Yes. This event is a prediction market tied to Iran nuclear negotiations, focused specifically on whether Iran agrees to end uranium enrichment before the stated deadline.

When does this Iran enrichment market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve based on whether a qualifying public agreement or pledge happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.