Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
1 signal across 1 market · $2,013 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Iran will publicly agree to allow unrestricted commercial navigation through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026. Traders are pricing the odds of a “Yes” outcome versus “No,” with PolySpotter tracking $2,013 in smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial macro bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0xbaa2bc…2c73$2,013 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
The live odds come from the Polymarket market for this event, where traders buy and sell Yes and No shares based on the perceived probability of Iran making a qualifying public agreement before the deadline.
What does this Iran Hormuz prediction market resolve on?
It resolves to Yes if Iran publicly agrees by June 30, 2026, to allow commercial vessels to transit the Strait of Hormuz without Iranian authorization, fees, or other Iran-imposed restrictions. If that does not happen by the deadline, it resolves to No.
Who is betting on this Strait of Hormuz market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,013 in smart money activity on the event, including a recent signal from a profitable serial macro bettor, which may be relevant for users following geopolitics-focused traders.
Why does the Strait of Hormuz matter for prediction markets?
The Strait of Hormuz is a critical global shipping route, especially for energy markets. Any shift in Iran’s public stance on commercial navigation can affect geopolitical risk expectations, making it a natural topic for prediction-market traders.
When does this Polymarket event resolve?
This event is scheduled to resolve based on whether the required public agreement occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.