Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
13 signals across 2 markets · $75,803 tracked · resolves Sep 20, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election. The active market focuses on whether the SPD will finish first, with PolySpotter currently flagging a sharp-money NO buy against that outcome.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster buying Yes
Three wallets committed nearly $8,000 to Yes, including a proven 79% winner, while the market rose 20 percentage points in one day.
$7,968Score: 6.5 - Sharp bettor joins coordinated No flow
A three-wallet No cluster includes a highly profitable 79% bettor, though two trades are exits from existing Yes positions rather than entirely fresh conviction.
$5,217Score: 6.4 - Elite serial trader backs No
A highly profitable, exceptionally experienced bettor is exiting Yes at 15%, effectively backing No despite the prior Yes position making this somewhat less informative.
$1,269Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.4 - Sharp bettor scales into Yes
A highly successful bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial proven edge is adding nearly $10,000 to an existing Yes position after a sharp price decline.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4 - Sharp bettor scales into Yes
A highly successful bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial proven edge is adding nearly $10,000 to an existing Yes position after a sharp price decline.
$9,826Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4 - Three-wallet No conviction surge
Three wallets deployed $12.9K toward No during a 165.7x volume spike, with the market falling 24.5% over the past week and one bettor showing a strong long-term record.
$12,882Score: 5.2 - Serial sharp bettor buys No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate is making a fresh $6,921 bet on No after closing a prior Yes position.
$6,921Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.9 - 81% winner flips to Yes
A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor with an 81% win rate is taking a fresh Yes position at near-even odds after previously closing a No position.
$1,494Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.9 - Profitable bettor joins coordinated Yes buying
Three wallets are aligned on Yes, including a profitable 79% winner reducing a large No position, though the trades mostly add to existing exposure.
$6,327Score: 4.6 - Proven sharp buying NO
Sharp profitable wallet with 81% win rate is making a sizable No bet that equals 74% of the market's 24h volume despite only a weak low-activity signal.
$4,916Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 4.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf55927…f462$19,826 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0xdf7053…5e92$9,712 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x23d81b…0288$8,415 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x55f352…cada$4,187 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 82% wins
- 0xc7e53a…2d3a$1,269 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election?
The odds come from Polymarket trading on the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election, currently centered on whether the SPD will win the most seats. Prices can change as traders react to polling, campaign news, and liquidity.
What is the smart money doing in this market?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,795 in smart-money activity for this event, including a recent signal from a proven sharp buying NO on the SPD winning the most seats.
What does buying NO on SPD mean?
Buying NO means a trader is betting against the SPD finishing with the greatest number of seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election.
When does the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the September 20, 2026 election and resolves based on which party wins the most seats in the state parliament. If the election does not occur by January 31, 2027, it resolves to Other.