Part of: Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
This prediction market asks whether the SPD will win the greatest number of seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election, scheduled for September 20, 2026. It resolves based on the final Landtag seat totals, with ties and delayed voting handled by the market rules; PolySpotter currently tracks $4,795 in smart money and 1 signal, including sharp buying on NO.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,795.
Categories: Global Elections, World, Elections, World Elections, Politics, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Germany, German Elections, Main Election
Notable Trades
Proven sharp buying NO
Sharp profitable wallet with 81% win rate is making a sizable No bet that equals 74% of the market's 24h volume despite only a weak low-activity signal.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $120.7K lifetime.
- The $4.8K No buy is large for this market, equal to 74% of the last 24h volume.
- Entry at 88¢ suggests a high-conviction favorite-position trade on a thin political market.
$4,795 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x94c4...43ca — Yes, $6,454 (78% win rate)
- 0xdf70...5e92 — No, $5,463 (81% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $5,364
- 0x225c...40dc — Yes, $1,707
- 0xdf6c...eb44 — Yes, $917
- 0x2038...6161 — Yes, $346
- 0x014c...820c — Yes, $290 (42% win rate)
- 0x44ac...dc9e — Yes, $190 (91% win rate)
- 0x3c4c...3e48 — No, $183
- 0x60cc...f23f — Yes, $176
