NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner
3 signals across 2 markets · $10,026 tracked · resolves May 12, 2026
This event tracks prediction market odds for the 2026 Democratic nominee in Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district. The current child market focuses on whether John Cavanaugh will win the NE-02 Democratic primary, with PolySpotter tracking $1,012 in smart money activity and a recent elite bettor move fading Yes.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Elite political bettor fades Yes
Sharp political bettor with an 85% resolved win rate and $1.29M lifetime profit is buying No on a niche NE-02 Democratic nominee market.
$1,012Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 6.0 - Elite political sharp buying Yes
Sharp political bettor with 85% win rate and $1.29M lifetime profit bought Yes in a relatively quiet NE-02 nominee market after a notable price move.
$1,687Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 4.0 - Large thin-market No bet
A $7.3k No bet on a thin local primary market is notable because it was nearly 4x recent volume and the market has already moved sharply in that direction, though the wallet lacks a strong win-rate record.
$7,328Wallet win rate: 19%Score: 2.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa5e304…4d7e$7,328 · 1 market · 1 alert · 19% wins
- 0xde7be6…5f4b$2,699 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the NE-02 Democratic primary odds on Polymarket?
The event covers Polymarket odds for who will win the Democratic nomination in Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district for the 2026 U.S. House election. The active market currently tracks whether John Cavanaugh will be the nominee.
What is the smart money doing in the NE-02 Democratic primary market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,012 in smart money across this event, including a recent signal where an elite political bettor faded the Yes side on John Cavanaugh being the nominee.
Who is being traded in this NE-02 Democratic primary prediction market?
At the moment, the event includes a market on whether John Cavanaugh will win the Democratic nomination for Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district. If additional candidate markets appear, the event hub can track those outcomes together.
When does the NE-02 Democratic primary market resolve?
The Democratic primary is scheduled for May 12, 2026. The market resolves based on the candidate who wins the Democratic nomination, using a consensus of official Democratic sources.
What happens if no NE-02 Democratic nominee is announced?
If no Democratic nominee is announced by November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market rules state that the event resolves to “Other.”