NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
10 signals across 2 markets · $72,936 tracked · resolves Jun 23, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary winner, focused on whether Darializa Avila Chevalier becomes the Democratic nominee for New York’s 13th congressional district. PolySpotter has tracked $1,034 in smart money activity so far, including a recent sharp bettor flip to NO, suggesting notable skepticism in the market.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial bettor leads cluster
Surface this: a highly profitable 80% winner with major cross-market history led a $26k one-sided Yes cluster amid a large volume spike and rising price.
$26,261Score: 12.9 - Sharp $3.9M winner leads cluster
A highly profitable 80% winner led a $29.6k one-sided Yes cluster into a local political primary market, alongside a 73x volume spike and sharp price move.
$29,579Score: 12.4 - Profitable serial political trader
Profitable high-volume political trader with linked-wallet corroboration is buying No on Espaillat after a meaningful move in the market.
$1,979Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 9.0 - Profitable linked wallet backs Yes
A highly profitable 9-for-9 wallet in a linked 3-wallet cluster is effectively buying Yes on Espaillat at 64¢ amid strong upward price momentum.
$1,384Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 7.6 - 5-wallet funded cluster
A 5-wallet shared-funder cluster is buying Yes on a niche NY-13 Democratic nominee market, though the individual wallet has a poor historical record.
$1,128Wallet win rate: 48%Score: 7.3 - Profitable serial political trader
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate and nearly $3.9M profit is buying Yes on this NY-13 Democratic nominee market.
$1,339Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 6.0 - New wallet scaling into YES
A 4-day-old repeat large bettor is buying Yes on a political primary market that has already moved sharply upward.
$4,904Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 5.5 - New wallet scaling into YES
A 4-day-old repeat large bettor is buying Yes on a political primary market that has already moved sharply upward.
$3,318Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 5.0 - Proven political bettor buying dip
Sharp profitable wallet with 83% wins and +$446k lifetime P&L is buying Yes on a political nomination market despite recent price weakness.
$2,011Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 5.0 - Sharp bettor flips to NO
Sharp profitable wallet with a 79% long-run record flipped from a prior Yes position into a new No bet on a political primary market.
$1,034Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xabca8e…8cd7$8,222 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 70% wins
- 0x7bc141…8db4$2,011 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x44c1df…ebc1$1,979 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x4c8cdc…e36f$1,384 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xde7be6…5f4b$1,339 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x0e64bd…336d$1,128 · 1 market · 1 alert · 48% wins
- 0xc68482…2228$1,034 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for the NY-13 Democratic primary?
The odds come from the active Polymarket market on whether Darializa Avila Chevalier will win the Democratic nomination for NY-13. PolySpotter tracks both the live market pricing and smart money activity around that outcome.
What is the smart money doing in the NY-13 Democratic primary market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,034 in smart money across this event, with one recent signal: a sharp bettor flipped to NO on Darializa Avila Chevalier becoming the nominee.
Who is being traded in this prediction market?
This event currently includes one child market: whether Darializa Avila Chevalier will be the Democratic nominee for New York’s 13th congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections.
When does the NY-13 Democratic primary market resolve?
The Democratic primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The market resolves based on the candidate who wins the Democratic nomination, using a consensus of official Democratic sources.
What happens if no NY-13 Democratic nominee is announced?
If no Democratic nominee is announced by November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market rules state that it will resolve to “Other.”