Part of: NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $68,763.
Categories: Primaries, Politics, New York, Elections, primary elections, House Primary, New York Primary, Democratic Primary, June 23 Primaries
Notable Trades
Profitable serial political trader
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate and nearly $3.9M profit is buying Yes on this NY-13 Democratic nominee market.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $3.9M lifetime.
- They are a major serial cross-market trader, with activity across 146 events and $5.7M in tracked volume.
- Buying Yes at 66¢ suggests confidence despite the market already moving up 19 points over the past week.
$1,339 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable linked wallet backs Yes
A highly profitable 9-for-9 wallet in a linked 3-wallet cluster is effectively buying Yes on Espaillat at 64¢ amid strong upward price momentum.
- This bettor is 9-for-9 on resolved bets and is up about $150K lifetime.
- The trade is effectively a Yes buy at 64¢, below the current 66¢ market price.
- A 3-wallet funded cluster is involved, and the market is already up 16 points this week.
$1,384 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet scaling into YES
A 4-day-old repeat large bettor is buying Yes on a political primary market that has already moved sharply upward.
- This 4-day-old wallet has already made 3 flagged large bets totaling $6.9K.
- They bought $3.3K of Yes at 64¢, and the market has since moved to 68¢.
- The market is up 19 points today, matching the direction of this new wallet’s bet.
$4,904 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial political trader
Profitable high-volume political trader with linked-wallet corroboration is buying No on Espaillat after a meaningful move in the market.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,377 resolved bets, 58% wins, and about $1.18M in profit.
- Two linked wallets from the same funder have put $3.6K into this NY-13 event.
- Bought No at 40¢, and the position has already moved to about 44¢.
$1,979 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%
New wallet scaling into YES
A 4-day-old repeat large bettor is buying Yes on a political primary market that has already moved sharply upward.
- This 4-day-old wallet has already made 3 flagged large bets totaling $6.9K.
- They bought $3.3K of Yes at 64¢, and the market has since moved to 68¢.
- The market is up 19 points today, matching the direction of this new wallet’s bet.
$3,318 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp $3.9M winner leads cluster
A highly profitable 80% winner led a $29.6k one-sided Yes cluster into a local political primary market, alongside a 73x volume spike and sharp price move.
- The lead bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $3.9M lifetime.
- Four wallets all backed Yes for $29.6k, with most of the money entering around 50–51¢.
- Volume spiked 73x and the price has jumped 18 points in one day, suggesting strong momentum behind the move.
$29,579 on Yes
Profitable serial bettor leads cluster
Surface this: a highly profitable 80% winner with major cross-market history led a $26k one-sided Yes cluster amid a large volume spike and rising price.
- The lead bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $3.86M lifetime.
- Three wallets all backed Yes for $26k, with most of the money entering around 50–51¢.
- Market volume spiked sharply and Yes has moved up 14 points this week.
$26,261 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 49259132, $54,297
- 0xff72...cdaa — Outcome 32267317, $3,700 (64% win rate)
- 0xd24b...ef76 — Outcome 32267317, $3,516 (69% win rate)
- 0x6291...cc47 — Outcome 32267317, $2,748
- 0x1e1f...c855 — Outcome 32267317, $2,419 (58% win rate)
- 0xbebe...72e1 — Outcome 32267317, $2,400 (69% win rate)
- 0xc684...2228 — Outcome 32267317, $2,123 (79% win rate)
- 0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 32267317, $1,177
- 0x8f71...4e83 — Outcome 32267317, $1,048 (100% win rate)
- 0xfb5a...8008 — Outcome 32267317, $1,013
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