Paraná Governor Election Winner
6 signals across 1 market · $17,718 tracked · resolves Oct 5, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the 2026 Paraná governor election in Brazil, including the market on whether Sergio Moro will win. PolySpotter is tracking $3,666 in smart money and a recent signal showing a 90% serial bettor scaling into Yes.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 92% winner adds to Yes
A highly active bettor with a 92% historical win rate added $5,519 to an already substantial Yes position in a thinly traded election market.
$5,519Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.0 - 92% winner adds to Yes
A highly active bettor with a 92% historical win rate added $5,519 to an already substantial Yes position in a thinly traded election market.
$3,378Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.8 - 92% winner adds to Yes
A highly active bettor with a 92% historical win rate added $5,519 to an already substantial Yes position in a thinly traded election market.
$2,876Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.7 - 90% serial bettor scaling into Yes
A highly active serial cross-market trader with a 90% win rate added $3,666 to an existing Yes position, though the track record is less compelling because wins average 87% entry odds.
$3,666Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 4.6 - 92% winner adds to Yes
A highly active bettor with a 92% historical win rate added $5,519 to an already substantial Yes position in a thinly traded election market.
$1,077Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.3 - 92% winner adds to Yes
A highly active bettor with a 92% historical win rate added $5,519 to an already substantial Yes position in a thinly traded election market.
$1,203Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 0.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xeb490d…693e$14,052 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x88c491…129a$3,666 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
FAQs
What are the Paraná governor election odds on Polymarket?
Polymarket offers a market on whether Sergio Moro will win the Paraná governor election. Check the live market price for the current implied probability, which can change as traders react to new information.
What is smart money doing in the Paraná election market?
PolySpotter tracks $3,666 in smart money across this event and one signal. The latest alert reports a 90% serial bettor scaling into Yes on the Sergio Moro market.
When is the Paraná governor election?
The first round is scheduled for October 4, 2026. A runoff is scheduled for October 25, 2026, if no candidate wins a majority of valid votes in the first round.
When will the Paraná governor prediction market resolve?
The market is expected to resolve based on the candidate who wins the election. If the result is not known by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the exchange’s stated fallback resolution terms apply.