South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory
4 signals across 2 markets · $8,674 tracked · resolves Aug 25, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the South Carolina special Senate Republican primary runoff on August 25, 2026, with outcomes based on the winning margin between the top two candidates. The available market asks whether Darline Graham Nordone will win by less than 5%; PolySpotter has also flagged a profitable serial trader buying “No.”
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial trader flips to Yes
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader made a large contrarian Yes bet in a thin political market, although the subsequent collapse makes the trade more useful to study than blindly copy.
$1,705Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 6.5 - 91% win-rate bettor adds to No
A proven 91% win-rate bettor with a substantial positive edge added roughly $3,368 to No in a rapidly repricing, thin market.
$3,368Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 6.5 - 91% winner scaling into No
A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate added substantially to an existing No position before No surged from 50% to 98%.
$1,880Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 6.4 - Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader made a concentrated No bet representing nearly all recent market volume in a thin, wide-spread market.
$1,721Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 4.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x12e454…dfc2$5,248 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 91% wins
- 0xecaa88…77a9$3,426 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 73% wins
FAQs
What are the South Carolina Senate runoff margin odds?
The event tracks prediction-market odds for the runoff margin of victory, including whether Darline Graham Nordone wins the Republican primary runoff by less than 5%. Check the live market for current pricing.
What is being traded in this Polymarket event?
This event covers the margin between the first- and second-place candidates in the South Carolina special Senate Republican primary runoff. The listed child market focuses on a margin below 5%.
What is smart money doing in the South Carolina runoff market?
PolySpotter has recorded one smart money signal across the event: a profitable serial trader bought “No” in the market asking whether Darline Graham Nordone will win by less than 5%.
When does the South Carolina Senate runoff market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by August 25, 2026, based on the official result and the margin between the top two candidates.