Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
1 signal across 1 market · $6,089 tracked · resolves Jun 15, 2026
This event tracks whether Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic returns to normal by June 15, 2026, based on IMF Portwatch data showing a 7-day moving average of at least 60 transit calls. Traders are betting Yes or No on whether shipping activity rebounds, with PolySpotter currently tracking $6,089 in smart money and a recent signal from profitable wallets on No.
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FAQs
What are the odds that Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
The live Polymarket odds reflect what traders think about whether IMF Portwatch will report a 7-day moving average of at least 60 transit calls before the June 15, 2026 deadline.
What is the smart money doing on this market?
PolySpotter has tracked $6,089 in smart money across this event, with a recent alert showing profitable wallets taking the No side.
How does this Strait of Hormuz prediction market resolve?
The market resolves Yes if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of “Arrivals of Ships” for the Strait of Hormuz at or above 60 for any eligible date before June 15, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves No.
Why does Strait of Hormuz traffic matter to traders?
The Strait of Hormuz is a key shipping route for oil and global trade, so changes in vessel traffic can reflect geopolitical risk, sanctions pressure, military tensions, or disruptions to energy markets.
When does the Strait of Hormuz traffic market close or resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by June 15, 2026, but it can resolve earlier if IMF Portwatch publishes qualifying data showing the required traffic threshold has been reached.