Texas Senate Election Winner
55 signals across 2 markets · $854,183 tracked · resolves Nov 4, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election, including whether the Democratic nominee can win the race. PolySpotter has detected $1,291 in smart money activity so far, with a recent sharp bettor signal fading Democrats.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Funded cluster with a proven sharp
Three commonly funded wallets added $5,692 to Yes, including a bettor with an 87% win rate and substantial edge, though the positions are additions and other wallets have mixed records.
$5,692Score: 10.2 - Proven bettor, four-wallet funding link
A highly profitable bettor made a large net No position, and four wallets sharing a funder were involved, though No has since fallen sharply from the entry price.
$30,353Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 9.6 - Profitable bettor adding to No
A highly profitable bettor with a strong record is adding to a large No position, alongside a four-wallet funded cluster.
$39,299Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 9.4 - Profitable bettor adding to No
A highly profitable bettor with a strong record is adding to a large No position, alongside a four-wallet funded cluster.
$7,687Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 9.2 - Profitable bettor adding to No
A highly profitable bettor with a strong record is adding to a large No position, alongside a four-wallet funded cluster.
$14,586Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 9.2 - 9-wallet coordinated Yes position
Nine wallets made roughly $109,000 of coordinated trades equivalent to buying Yes, alongside an 82.7x volume spike, making this a notable directional signal.
$91,419Score: 8.8 - 7-wallet funded cluster adding No
Seven wallets linked by a shared funder deployed about $3,183, while this profitable trader adds to an existing large No position.
$3,183Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - 7-wallet funded cluster adding No
Seven wallets linked by a shared funder deployed about $3,183, while this profitable trader adds to an existing large No position.
$1,950Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - Seven-wallet cluster adds to profitable No position
A profitable trader is adding to a large No position, with seven same-funder wallets linked to the market activity.
$6,228Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - Seven-wallet cluster adds to profitable No position
A profitable trader is adding to a large No position, with seven same-funder wallets linked to the market activity.
$1,212Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x60bf70…942d$251,587 · 1 market · 4 alerts
- 0x4c8cdc…e36f$152,730 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 78% wins
- 0xa97482…ef79$79,651 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 82% wins
- 0x16bb99…8492$40,137 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 95% wins
- 0x74471a…a16d$30,890 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0xde7be6…5f4b$20,207 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 79% wins
- 0x05f6cb…25a1$18,099 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x71ca04…3501$16,889 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0xe23495…304a$12,573 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 66% wins
- 0x27f738…44b0$11,216 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 88% wins
FAQs
What are the Texas Senate 2026 prediction market odds?
This Polymarket event shows how traders are pricing the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race, currently centered on whether Democrats will win. The odds move as traders react to polling, candidate news, fundraising, and broader midterm conditions.
What is smart money doing in the Texas Senate market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,291 in smart money across this event, with one recent signal: a sharp bettor faded Democrats. That suggests at least one tracked trader was positioning against a Democratic win at the time of the alert.
Does this market include runoffs?
Yes. The event description says it resolves according to the winner of the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
When does the Texas Senate 2026 market resolve?
The event is listed with a resolve-by date of November 3, 2026, though final resolution may depend on the official winner, including any runoff scenario covered by the market rules.
Where can I track Texas Senate Polymarket activity?
PolySpotter tracks the event’s Polymarket odds, child markets, and smart money alerts so you can see not just the price, but which side sharper traders appear to be taking.