Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire broken by...?
1 signal across 1 market · $3,461 tracked · resolves Apr 21, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether President Trump, the US government, or the US military officially announces that the temporary US-Iran ceasefire has been broken or violated by the April 21, 2026 deadline. Traders are pricing the chance of a public US announcement that either side violated the ceasefire, with PolySpotter monitoring smart-money signals around the market.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x5188fa…c804$3,461 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Trump announces the US-Iran ceasefire was broken?
The live odds are set by Polymarket traders buying and selling shares in the event. PolySpotter tracks those market prices alongside smart-money activity so you can see how expectations are shifting before the April 21, 2026 resolution deadline.
What does this Polymarket event resolve on?
It resolves to Yes if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the US-Iran ceasefire was broken or violated by either country by the specified deadline. If no qualifying official announcement occurs, it resolves to No.
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,461 in smart-money activity and one recent signal on this event, including activity tied to an 82% win-rate bettor. Check the live event page for the latest side, size, and timing of tracked bets.
When does the Trump Iran ceasefire market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by April 21, 2026, based on whether a qualifying official US announcement occurs before the market deadline.
Is this market about whether the ceasefire is actually broken?
Not exactly. The key condition is an official public announcement by Trump, the US government, or the US military that the ceasefire was broken or violated, not independent reporting or unofficial claims alone.