US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?
5 signals across 2 markets · $12,207 tracked · resolves Aug 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether the US government will officially announce an end, suspension, or cessation of offensive military operations against Iran by August 15, 2026. View live Yes/No prediction-market odds, plus smart money activity—including a serial cross-market trader adding to Yes—with $1,262 tracked across the event.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Experienced wallets reinforce Yes conviction
Three experienced wallets reinforced a Yes position, including a highly profitable large trader, amid a sharp 19% one-day price rise.
$4,357Score: 5.1 - Serial trader adds to Yes
A serial cross-market trader with 415 resolved bets is adding to an existing Yes position amid an extreme volume spike and a sharp price rise.
$1,221Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 5.0 - Serial cross-market trader adds to Yes
A highly active serial cross-market trader is adding to an existing Yes position, though their 72% win rate does not clearly show edge at an average 87% winning entry price.
$1,262Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 4.0 - Profitable new wallet buys Yes
A four-day-old wallet with eight positions and positive early P&L made a concentrated $2.1K bet favoring Yes, though its limited track record is only moderately compelling.
$2,121Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 4.0 - Volume spike drives large Yes bet
A substantial fresh Yes position coincided with a 152x volume spike and a 29-point price surge, though the wallet has only a moderate track record.
$3,246Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x122cb9…fbed$3,246 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0xd0b091…63cf$2,121 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x35bbba…009b$1,262 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0xc96e52…f1f9$1,221 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
FAQs
What are the US-Iran halt operations prediction-market odds?
The event displays live Yes/No Polymarket odds on whether the United States will officially announce a halt to offensive military operations against Iran by August 15, 2026.
What is smart money betting on in this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,262 in smart money across the event and one signal. The latest alert reports that a serial cross-market trader added to the Yes outcome.
What outcomes are traded in this Polymarket event?
This event contains one child market with two outcomes: Yes, if an official US announcement meets the market’s criteria by the deadline, or No otherwise.
When does the US-Iran halt operations market resolve?
The child market asks whether the announcement occurs by August 15, 2026. The event metadata lists a resolution time of August 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
What qualifies as a halt announcement?
The market requires a public, official announcement by the US government or an authorized representative communicating a general end, termination, cessation, or suspension of offensive military operations against Iran.