Part of: US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,825.
Categories: Iran, US-Iran, Peace Deal, Geopolitics, U.S. x Iran, Iran Ceasefire
Notable Trades
Serial trader adds to Yes
A serial cross-market trader with 415 resolved bets is adding to an existing Yes position amid an extreme volume spike and a sharp price rise.
- This bettor has won 76% of 415 resolved trades and is up $117,462 lifetime.
- They added $1,221 to an existing Yes position, reinforcing conviction at 89¢.
- Trading volume was 152x its historical average while Yes rose 28.9%, providing strong market confirmation.
$1,221 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%
Volume spike drives large Yes bet
A substantial fresh Yes position coincided with a 152x volume spike and a 29-point price surge, though the wallet has only a moderate track record.
- This trader put $3,246 into Yes as the market surged 29 percentage points to 90%.
- Trading volume reached 152 times its historical average, indicating unusually strong positioning around this outcome.
- The wallet is profitable by $155,000 over 1,173 resolved bets, but its 58% win rate is only moderate evidence of an edge.
$3,246 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%
Experienced wallets reinforce Yes conviction
Three experienced wallets reinforced a Yes position, including a highly profitable large trader, amid a sharp 19% one-day price rise.
- Three wallets committed $4,357 to Yes, including two traders adding to existing Yes positions.
- One wallet with $1.19M lifetime profit bought Yes at 63¢ while another sold No at an equivalent 66¢ Yes price.
- Yes has risen 19% in one day and 32% in a week, corroborating the coordinated buying but making the trade less cheap.
$4,357 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xbfe4...9586 — Outcome 23134377, $212,760
- 0x0761...ad5c — Outcome 23134377, $130,000
- 0x5579...1a7a — Outcome 23134377, $70,000
- 0xa9a6...4fcf — Outcome 23134377, $60,000 (83% win rate)
- 0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 23134377, $57,781 (73% win rate)
- 0x76ce...f48b — Outcome 23134377, $44,000
- 0x5b8d...a1ae — Outcome 23134377, $20,000
- 0x10cc...42e6 — Outcome 23134377, $15,000
- 0x524d...4495 — Outcome 23134377, $14,667 (80% win rate)
- 0x0ac6...2d11 — Outcome 23134377, $14,000
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