Event

US X Iran Ceasefire BY

258 signals across 8 markets · $3,534,248 tracked

Markets (8)

  1. US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?56 signals · $1,269,460 tracked
  2. US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?41 signals · $926,458 tracked
  3. US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?70 signals · $676,306 tracked
  4. US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?34 signals · $234,476 tracked
  5. US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?31 signals · $215,318 tracked
  6. US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?12 signals · $106,642 tracked
  7. US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?12 signals · $98,049 tracked
  8. US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?2 signals · $7,539 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

    A large coordinated cluster of 28 wallets put $232.8k behind a ceasefire thesis across related Iran markets, including several linked wallets and multiple historically profitable cross-market traders, making this a strong directional signal despite the market already moving from 10-16¢ to 22¢.

    $232,828Score: 96.0
  2. US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

    A 19-wallet cluster, including 6 linked wallets and several profitable cross-market traders, put $352.9k behind Yes around 18-22¢, showing coordinated conviction on a geopolitics market despite some wallets reopening prior positions.

    $352,893Score: 66.0
  3. 6-wallet geopolitical NO cluster

    Six wallets put over $56k on No across this geopolitics market, and several are experienced cross-market traders with strong hit rates across related Iran event markets.

    $56,368Score: 45.7
  4. US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

    A 12-wallet cluster put $86.5k behind No across this geopolitics market, with several repeat cross-market traders and at least two proven profitable wallets, making it a notable coordinated thesis despite mixed wallet quality.

    $86,529Score: 33.0
  5. 4-wallet ceasefire cluster

    Four wallets piled into Yes for $16.6k on a geopolitics market, led by a high-volume cross-market trader with a 75% win rate and reinforced by coordinated one-sided flow.

    $16,597Score: 26.5
  6. 5-wallet NO cluster

    Five wallets, including one with a 69% win rate and $729k profit, piled into NO around 68-72¢ with two linked by funder, creating a credible coordinated directional signal on a major geopolitics market.

    $13,495Score: 26.4
  7. US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

    Multiple profitable wallets re-entered the same ceasefire market on the Yes side, led by one bettor with an 87% win rate and a broader 7-market event thesis.

    $38,143Score: 23.2
  8. US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

    Three experienced cross-market traders all added fresh bullish exposure to a major geopolitics market around 21-23¢, including one wallet with an 83% win rate, making this coordinated Yes flow worth watching.

    $13,658Score: 22.1
  9. 4-wallet geopolitical cluster

    Four wallets aligned on No, including a serial cross-market trader with a perfect resolved record and a brand-new wallet sizing in, making this coordinated geopolitical flow worth watching despite one leg being a position exit.

    $10,794Score: 20.5
  10. US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

    Three experienced cross-market traders flipped into the ceasefire Yes side with $115k total, including two large No sells that translate to buying Yes around 20¢ in a major event market.

    $115,136Score: 20.4

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x35bbba009b$213,397 · 5 markets · 32 alerts · 74% wins
  2. 0x49b3066486$207,241 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 36% wins
  3. 0x129a749fb6$193,062 · 1 market · 1 alert
  4. 0x5b4c676829$179,359 · 1 market · 6 alerts
  5. 0x848921c184$84,677 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 100% wins
  6. 0xef831096ec$82,923 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
  7. 0x50eb8cfc67$79,191 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 67% wins
  8. 0x00425c321e$75,554 · 3 markets · 8 alerts · 43% wins
  9. 0xcf608747ce$63,722 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 46% wins
  10. 0xad1425bf69$62,197 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins

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