US X Iran Ceasefire BY
258 signals across 8 markets · $3,534,248 tracked
Markets (8)
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?56 signals · $1,269,460 tracked
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?41 signals · $926,458 tracked
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?70 signals · $676,306 tracked
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?34 signals · $234,476 tracked
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?31 signals · $215,318 tracked
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?12 signals · $106,642 tracked
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?12 signals · $98,049 tracked
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?2 signals · $7,539 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
A large coordinated cluster of 28 wallets put $232.8k behind a ceasefire thesis across related Iran markets, including several linked wallets and multiple historically profitable cross-market traders, making this a strong directional signal despite the market already moving from 10-16¢ to 22¢.
$232,828Score: 96.0 - US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
A 19-wallet cluster, including 6 linked wallets and several profitable cross-market traders, put $352.9k behind Yes around 18-22¢, showing coordinated conviction on a geopolitics market despite some wallets reopening prior positions.
$352,893Score: 66.0 - 6-wallet geopolitical NO cluster
Six wallets put over $56k on No across this geopolitics market, and several are experienced cross-market traders with strong hit rates across related Iran event markets.
$56,368Score: 45.7 - US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
A 12-wallet cluster put $86.5k behind No across this geopolitics market, with several repeat cross-market traders and at least two proven profitable wallets, making it a notable coordinated thesis despite mixed wallet quality.
$86,529Score: 33.0 - 4-wallet ceasefire cluster
Four wallets piled into Yes for $16.6k on a geopolitics market, led by a high-volume cross-market trader with a 75% win rate and reinforced by coordinated one-sided flow.
$16,597Score: 26.5 - 5-wallet NO cluster
Five wallets, including one with a 69% win rate and $729k profit, piled into NO around 68-72¢ with two linked by funder, creating a credible coordinated directional signal on a major geopolitics market.
$13,495Score: 26.4 - US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Multiple profitable wallets re-entered the same ceasefire market on the Yes side, led by one bettor with an 87% win rate and a broader 7-market event thesis.
$38,143Score: 23.2 - US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Three experienced cross-market traders all added fresh bullish exposure to a major geopolitics market around 21-23¢, including one wallet with an 83% win rate, making this coordinated Yes flow worth watching.
$13,658Score: 22.1 - 4-wallet geopolitical cluster
Four wallets aligned on No, including a serial cross-market trader with a perfect resolved record and a brand-new wallet sizing in, making this coordinated geopolitical flow worth watching despite one leg being a position exit.
$10,794Score: 20.5 - US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Three experienced cross-market traders flipped into the ceasefire Yes side with $115k total, including two large No sells that translate to buying Yes around 20¢ in a major event market.
$115,136Score: 20.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x35bbba…009b$213,397 · 5 markets · 32 alerts · 74% wins
- 0x49b306…6486$207,241 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 36% wins
- 0x129a74…9fb6$193,062 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x5b4c67…6829$179,359 · 1 market · 6 alerts
- 0x848921…c184$84,677 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 100% wins
- 0xef8310…96ec$82,923 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0x50eb8c…fc67$79,191 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 67% wins
- 0x00425c…321e$75,554 · 3 markets · 8 alerts · 43% wins
- 0xcf6087…47ce$63,722 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 46% wins
- 0xad1425…bf69$62,197 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins