Event

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

1 signal across 1 market · $5,319 tracked · resolves May 31, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether the United States and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal before Donald Trump visits China. Traders are pricing the Yes/No outcome, while PolySpotter has flagged $5,319 in smart-money activity, including a recent profitable trio buying YES.

Markets (1)

  1. US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?1 signal · $5,319 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable trio buying YES

    Three wallets are aligned on Yes, including two highly profitable bettors with strong historical win rates, though sizing is modest relative to market volume.

    $5,319Score: 4.1

More on this event

FAQs

What are the odds of a US-Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

The live Polymarket odds show how traders are pricing the Yes and No outcomes for this event. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart-money activity so you can see whether informed wallets are leaning toward a deal happening first.

What is the smart money doing on this market?

PolySpotter has tracked $5,319 in smart-money activity across this event. The latest signal flagged a profitable trio buying YES, suggesting some successful traders are positioning for a qualifying US-Iran peace deal before a Trump visit to China.

What counts as a qualifying peace deal?

The market requires a permanent peace deal between the United States and Iran, meaning an agreement that explicitly says military hostilities have ended or will permanently cease.

When does this Polymarket event resolve?

The event is listed with a resolution date of May 31, 2026, though the market rules also specify conditions tied to whether a qualifying peace deal or Trump visit to China occurs. Always check the market rules for the final resolution criteria.

US-Iran Peace Deal Before China Visit Odds | PolySpotter