Venezuela leader end of 2026?
23 signals across 2 markets · $102,114 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This event tracks Polymarket prediction-market odds on who will officially be Venezuela’s head of state at the end of 2026. Traders are currently pricing outcomes tied to Nicolás Maduro and Delcy Rodríguez, with PolySpotter tracking $54,059 in smart money activity and multiple profitable political bettors moving around regime-transition odds.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable cluster buying rebound
Three wallets piled into Yes after a sharp repricing, led by a highly profitable cross-market trader who bought Maduro at 48¢ as the market surged on heavy volume.
$16,499Score: 16.3 - Seven-wallet cluster betting against Maduro
Seven linked wallets have deployed about $9,145 around this market, and the alerted trader’s $3,077 sale of Yes is a bearish position equivalent to buying No at 30¢.
$3,077Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - Seven-wallet cluster; serial trader buys Yes
A $2,417 Yes buy is notable because the wallet belongs to a seven-wallet shared-funder cluster, though its track record does not establish a clear edge.
$2,418Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a massive track record bought $5.7k of Yes at 80¢ on a relatively quiet political market.
$5,661Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 8.0 - Three-wallet Yes cluster with sharp bettor
Three wallets bought $14.1K of Yes amid a 39.5x volume spike, including a profitable bettor with a 96% record on 25 resolved bets.
$14,121Score: 6.5 - Profitable serial political trader
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with nearly $1M in profit put $14.1k into Yes on a politically relevant market during a sharp recent move, making it worth following despite only moderate edge.
$14,137Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 6.0 - Proven sharp trader betting against Yes
A highly successful cross-market trader with 1,651 resolved positions is selling Yes, a meaningful bearish signal that converts to buying No.
$1,060Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.4 - Profitable serial political trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a long track record is taking a meaningful Yes position in a niche political market at 20¢.
$1,218Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 5.0 - Proven political trader backs Maduro exit
A highly experienced political-market trader with 1,115 resolved bets and a strong record sold Yes, signaling a position against Maduro remaining leader.
$1,764Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.7 - Sharp bettor fades Maduro Yes
A highly experienced bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial edge is taking a $1,771 position against the heavily favored Yes outcome.
$1,771Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xbaa2bc…2c73$15,430 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 64% wins
- 0x71edff…d338$10,699 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x5b6331…11a4$8,733 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 71% wins
- 0x8c57f6…f939$7,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x1f0a34…f7aa$5,716 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0xe23495…304a$5,495 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 66% wins
- 0xf0d5eb…c665$5,244 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x8f7a4b…db40$4,607 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 77% wins
- 0xf9b716…60a4$2,984 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 66% wins
- 0x511f9c…cbe1$1,557 · 1 market · 1 alert · 47% wins
FAQs
What is the Venezuela leader end of 2026 prediction market?
It is a Polymarket event on who will officially hold Venezuela’s head-of-state position on December 31, 2026. The event hub includes related markets such as whether Nicolás Maduro or Delcy Rodríguez will be leader by the resolution date.
What do the odds say about Maduro or Delcy Rodríguez leading Venezuela in 2026?
The odds reflect how traders are pricing each possible leadership outcome in real time. Because political and geopolitical news can shift expectations quickly, this page tracks the full event rather than just one candidate market.
Is smart money betting on Venezuela regime-change outcomes?
PolySpotter has tracked $54,059 in smart money across this event, including signals from profitable political traders and clusters buying rebounds or chasing regime odds. These signals can help show where experienced bettors are positioning.
Who are the notable smart money traders in this event?
Recent alerts include a profitable serial political trader and an 83% win-rate political bettor. PolySpotter highlights these wallets because their activity may be more informative than broad market volume alone.
When does this Venezuela leader market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve based on who officially holds Venezuela’s head-of-state position on December 31, 2026, according to the market rules and official government information.