Venezuela leader end of 2026?
16 signals across 2 markets · $83,784 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket prediction-market odds on who will officially be Venezuela’s head of state at the end of 2026. Traders are currently pricing outcomes tied to Nicolás Maduro and Delcy Rodríguez, with PolySpotter tracking $54,059 in smart money activity and multiple profitable political bettors moving around regime-transition odds.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable cluster buying rebound
Three wallets piled into Yes after a sharp repricing, led by a highly profitable cross-market trader who bought Maduro at 48¢ as the market surged on heavy volume.
$16,499Score: 16.3 - Profitable cluster chasing regime odds
Three wallets piled into Yes as volume exploded and price jumped 32% in a day, led by a bettor with a 64% win rate and nearly $955k in profits across heavy cross-market activity.
$16,288Score: 12.7 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a massive track record bought $5.7k of Yes at 80¢ on a relatively quiet political market.
$5,661Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 8.0 - Profitable serial political trader
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with nearly $1M in profit put $14.1k into Yes on a politically relevant market during a sharp recent move, making it worth following despite only moderate edge.
$14,137Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial political trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a long track record is taking a meaningful Yes position in a niche political market at 20¢.
$1,218Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 5.0 - 83% win-rate political bettor
An 83% win-rate trader with nearly $403k in profit is buying Yes at 49¢ on a politically meaningful market that has already been moving higher.
$1,364Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.0 - 74% win-rate political bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a strong 74% win rate bought No in a major politics market despite a sharp recent move, making this a credible thesis worth watching.
$1,405Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.0 - Profitable cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying Yes on Maduro remaining Venezuela's leader, though the individual trade size is modest.
$1,294Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 4.0 - 91% serial cross-market bettor
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 91% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes at 80¢ on a long-dated Venezuela leadership market.
$1,064Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.0 - Serial cross-market winner
A seasoned serial cross-market trader with a 70% resolved win rate and positive P&L bought $7.5k of Yes, a meaningful share of recent volume.
$7,500Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xbaa2bc…2c73$15,430 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 64% wins
- 0x5b6331…11a4$8,733 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 69% wins
- 0x8c57f6…f939$7,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x1f0a34…f7aa$5,716 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0xf0d5eb…c665$5,244 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xf9b716…60a4$2,984 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 64% wins
- 0x511f9c…cbe1$1,557 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins
- 0x35bbba…009b$1,405 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x71edff…d338$1,364 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x79d980…baec$1,064 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
FAQs
What is the Venezuela leader end of 2026 prediction market?
It is a Polymarket event on who will officially hold Venezuela’s head-of-state position on December 31, 2026. The event hub includes related markets such as whether Nicolás Maduro or Delcy Rodríguez will be leader by the resolution date.
What do the odds say about Maduro or Delcy Rodríguez leading Venezuela in 2026?
The odds reflect how traders are pricing each possible leadership outcome in real time. Because political and geopolitical news can shift expectations quickly, this page tracks the full event rather than just one candidate market.
Is smart money betting on Venezuela regime-change outcomes?
PolySpotter has tracked $54,059 in smart money across this event, including signals from profitable political traders and clusters buying rebounds or chasing regime odds. These signals can help show where experienced bettors are positioning.
Who are the notable smart money traders in this event?
Recent alerts include a profitable serial political trader and an 83% win-rate political bettor. PolySpotter highlights these wallets because their activity may be more informative than broad market volume alone.
When does this Venezuela leader market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve based on who officially holds Venezuela’s head-of-state position on December 31, 2026, according to the market rules and official government information.