Part of: Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

This prediction market tracks whether Delcy Rodríguez will officially hold the role of head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. The market resolves based on formal appointment, confirmation, swearing-in, or other official Venezuelan government information, with PolySpotter currently tracking $1,218 in smart money and 1 signal for this market.

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,218.

Categories: Trump-Machado, Venezuela, Trump, Politics, Geopolitics, maduro, Rewards 200, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

Profitable serial political trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a long track record is taking a meaningful Yes position in a niche political market at 20¢.

  • This bettor wins 71% of resolved bets and is up $112K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 206 events with about $805K in cross-market activity.
  • The $1.2K Yes buy was over half of recent volume, showing conviction in a quieter market.

$1,218 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $252,757
  2. 0x2005...e414 Yes, $51,289
  3. 0x54a5...ee3d Yes, $21,592 (50% win rate)
  4. 0xc021...1fa8 Yes, $17,755 (53% win rate)
  5. 0x7ea7...79ac Yes, $17,275
  6. 0x5b63...11a4 Yes, $13,711 (69% win rate)
  7. 0x0509...6e98 No, $12,114
  8. 0x70c1...1be2 Yes, $8,938 (79% win rate)
  9. 0x3112...09a8 Yes, $8,938 (75% win rate)
  10. 0x011f...1122 Yes, $8,767 (40% win rate)

Related Theses

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Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

209dVenezuela leader end of 2026?$1,218 tracked1 signalTrump-MachadoVenezuelaTrumpPoliticsGeopoliticsmaduroRewards 200, 4.5, 50
Yes
20¢
No
80¢

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.

Price History — “No
83¢
80¢
76¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

33d ago

$1,218 on Yes at 20¢

20¢20¢

Related Theses