Event

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

1 signal across 1 market · $1,650 tracked · resolves Mar 31, 2026

This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether the United States will invade Venezuela by the market deadline, with traders pricing the Yes/No outcome. PolySpotter has tracked $1,650 in smart-money activity, including a recent signal from a proven bettor buying No.

Markets (1)

  1. Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?1 signal · $1,650 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Proven bettor buying No

    Despite a weak low-activity signal, this is worth surfacing because the wallet has a strong 549-bet track record and is buying No in a quiet market at 90¢.

    $1,650Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 1.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x0dde1b94c3$1,650 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds that the U.S. invades Venezuela?

The event centers on a Yes/No prediction market for whether the U.S. commences a qualifying military offensive in Venezuela by the stated deadline. PolySpotter tracks the live market and highlights notable smart-money moves behind the odds.

What is the smart money doing on this Venezuela invasion market?

The latest tracked signal shows a proven bettor buying No. Across the event, PolySpotter has tracked $1,650 in smart-money activity from 1 signal.

What does “Yes” mean in this market?

Under the market rules, Yes resolves if the United States begins a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela during the specified resolution window. Otherwise, the market resolves No.

When does this U.S.-Venezuela market resolve?

The event is listed with a resolution date of March 31, 2026, though the underlying market rules define the relevant deadline and resolution criteria. Traders should check the market text for the exact cutoff and source standards.