Part of: Gemini 3.5 released by...?
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
This prediction market asks whether Google will make Gemini 3.5 publicly available by May 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. A “Yes” outcome requires a public launch, open beta, or open rolling waitlist announced by Google; private or closed beta access does not count. PolySpotter is tracking $1,001 in smart money activity on this market, with recent sharp signals leaning toward NO.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,870.
Categories: Tech, AI, google, Business, Big Tech
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying Yes as part of a broader Gemini 3.5 release thesis across three related markets.
- This bettor has traded 455 markets across 271 events and is up $67,814 lifetime.
- They are building the same thesis across 3 related markets with $5,817 total exposure.
- Entry at 71¢ follows a sharp weekly move, suggesting they still see upside despite the higher price.
$1,001 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Proven AI-market sharp
Despite a weak price-impact signal, this is a proven profitable bettor with a 77% win rate taking the Yes side after a sharp market move.
- This bettor has won 77% of 596 resolved bets and is up $18.4k lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 74¢ after the market surged 66 points in one day.
- The market has heavy recent volume at $96.9k in 24h, so this trade follows real momentum rather than a quiet blip.
$1,178 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Serial cross-market winner
Serial cross-market trader with a large 1,232-bet history and positive P&L bought No despite a sharp market move toward Yes.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,232 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and $63K in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 268 events with over $1M in tracked volume.
- They bought No at 71¢ while the market has recently surged toward Yes, making this a notable contrarian position.
$1,787 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial trader buying NO
A profitable, very active cross-market trader bought $2.9k of No on a thin AI-release market, pushing No higher amid strong recent momentum.
- This bettor is up $131k across 1,103 resolved bets and has traded 76 markets across 40 events.
- The $2.9k No buy was large for this market, equal to about 54% of recent 24h volume.
- No has momentum, moving to 90% after the trade while Yes fell 15.8% over the last day.
$2,905 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
Top Holders
- 0xb100...6461 — Outcome 90961221, $21,834 (58% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 90961221, $8,627
- 0x0fa2...7ec2 — Outcome 78248989, $8,558
- 0x80e9...f25d — Outcome 90961221, $7,219
- 0xa6ac...e1be — Outcome 78248989, $6,064
- 0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 90961221, $6,000 (42% win rate)
- 0x133a...06ab — Outcome 78248989, $5,483
- 0x1cd7...87c9 — Outcome 90961221, $5,315
- 0x2d1b...5adb — Outcome 90961221, $4,825
- 0x7084...4bd6 — Outcome 78248989, $4,379
