Part of: US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?

This Polymarket market asks whether the U.S. government will collect any fee, toll, reimbursement, or in-kind payment tied to Strait of Hormuz transit or shipping protection by July 31, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,837 in smart money activity, with a recent signal showing a 95% winner buying NO.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement. The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection. The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,837.

Categories: Geopolitics, U.S. x Iran, toll, US-Iran, Strait of Hormuz, Iran, Politics, Iran Ceasefire, Oil

Notable Trades

95% winner buying NO

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 95% resolved-position win rate is buying No on a niche geopolitical market at 86¢.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved positions and is up about $410K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 115 events with the same 95% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • Buying No at 86¢ means they are backing the market’s favorite, but from a very strong track record.

$1,837 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcd71...d127 No, $27,770 (80% win rate)
  2. 0x24c8...23e1 Yes, $24,444 (40% win rate)
  3. 0xdbd0...8c1c Yes, $20,136 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xb17d...59ae Yes, $10,840 (91% win rate)
  5. 0x1cc1...b8df No, $6,762 (56% win rate)
  6. 0xd0db...b117 No, $6,392
  7. 0xb51b...b4d9 No, $5,688 (62% win rate)
  8. 0x75ac...33d7 Yes, $5,287
  9. 0xcc79...1c2a No, $5,256
  10. 0x4e42...49ed No, $3,319 (51% win rate)

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US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?

13dUS charges Hormuz fees by...?$1,837 tracked1 signalGeopoliticsU.S. x IrantollUS-IranStrait of HormuzIranPoliticsIran CeasefireOil
Yes
1¢
No
99¢

This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement. The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection. The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No
101¢
84¢
67¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?

4d ago

$1,837 on No at 86¢

86¢99¢13¢

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