Part of: Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,927.
Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Senate Primary, Democratic Primary, Minnesota Primary, August 11 Primaries, US Election
Notable Trades
Four-wallet Yes accumulation
Four wallets concentrated $6.6K into Yes around 71–74¢ before the market rose 19 percentage points, though several were adding to existing positions and track records are mixed.
- Four wallets bought $6,617 of Yes at 71–74¢, and the market has since risen to about 90%.
- Two participating bettors are profitable over more than 1,100 resolved trades, while the group also includes a historically losing wallet.
- Several wallets already held Yes, so this is stronger evidence of continued conviction than of a brand-new coordinated position.
$6,617 on Yes
Seven-wallet coordinated Yes position
Seven linked wallets and an extreme volume spike support surfacing this added Yes position, despite the trader's modest historical edge and existing exposure.
- Seven wallets sharing a funder have deployed $3,725 around this market, indicating coordinated conviction.
- Trading activity was 1,157x the historical average, despite only three trades in the spike.
- This wallet is adding to an existing Yes position at 73¢, though its 59% win rate is not a strong standalone edge.
$2,490 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Seven-wallet funded cluster buys Yes
Seven linked wallets are coordinating on Yes, although this wallet is adding to an existing position and has no demonstrated odds-based edge.
- Seven wallets sharing a funder are aligned on Peggy Flanagan winning the Democratic nomination.
- This wallet added $3,725 at 72¢ to an existing $5,174 Yes position, showing increased conviction.
- The trader is profitable overall with 241 resolved bets, though its 68% win rate does not exceed its 72¢ average winning entry price.
$3,725 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Seven-wallet coordinated Yes position
Seven linked wallets and an extreme volume spike support surfacing this added Yes position, despite the trader's modest historical edge and existing exposure.
- Seven wallets sharing a funder have deployed $3,725 around this market, indicating coordinated conviction.
- Trading activity was 1,157x the historical average, despite only three trades in the spike.
- This wallet is adding to an existing Yes position at 73¢, though its 59% win rate is not a strong standalone edge.
$2,095 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 73142131, $34,954
- 0x9648...6825 — Outcome 73142131, $26,680 (70% win rate)
- 0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 73142131, $16,083 (73% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 73142131, $7,604 (82% win rate)
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Outcome 73142131, $7,388 (71% win rate)
- 0xa710...4173 — Outcome 73142131, $2,000 (38% win rate)
- 0xe32b...626e — Outcome 73142131, $1,502
- 0xa5e3...4d7e — Outcome 73142131, $1,177 (19% win rate)
- 0x3872...bb1d — Outcome 73142131, $949
- 0x815a...af37 — Outcome 73142131, $929
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