Part of: US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,046.
Categories: Iran, Trump, Israel, Military, Politics, Geopolitics, Middle East, Israel x Iran, Military Actions, Military Strikes
Notable Trades
New whale scaling into No
A very new wallet repeatedly deployed nearly $25,000 across three related Iran markets, adding $4,136 to an existing No position before the market repriced to certainty.
- This 1-hour-old wallet has already flagged six large bets totaling $24,909 across three related markets.
- It added $4,136 to an existing No position, with entries at 75¢ and 90¢ before No reached 100%.
- The repeated, cross-market positioning shows strong directional conviction, though the wallet has no resolved track record yet.
$4,136 on No
New whale scaling into No
A brand-new wallet deployed $20.2K into No across four escalating buys, coinciding with a sharp repricing and an extreme volume spike.
- A wallet less than an hour old committed $20,237 to No through four increasingly large buys.
- The trades helped drive No from roughly 36% to 92%, alongside a 460x historical volume spike.
- The wallet is also positioning across three related markets, suggesting a broader directional thesis despite having no resolved track record.
$20,237 on No
94% win-rate sharp buys Yes
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $1,559 purchase of Yes at 88%.
- This bettor has won 94% of 1,864 resolved positions and is up $880,219 lifetime.
- The trader’s results imply a large edge over the roughly 60% average odds paid historically.
- A fresh $1,559 Yes position follows a 33.5-point one-day market rise, reinforcing strong bullish momentum.
$1,559 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Coordinated Yes buying with a sharp trader
Three wallets added $13.1K to Yes during a 352x volume spike, including a serial trader with a 78% win rate and substantial profits.
- Three wallets bought Yes for $13,114 during a volume spike 352 times the historical average.
- One participant has won 78% of 106 resolved trades and is up $58,596.
- All three wallets are adding to existing Yes positions around 85–86¢, signaling reinforced conviction rather than a one-off entry.
$13,114 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xe43e...97c2 — Outcome 36883966, $50,726
- 0xd104...acef — Outcome 36883966, $30,000 (89% win rate)
- 0xc15b...38af — Outcome 36883966, $21,399 (81% win rate)
- 0xe738...df65 — Outcome 36883966, $20,750 (63% win rate)
- 0x9c98...f4f4 — Outcome 36883966, $10,253 (94% win rate)
- 0x4d70...2698 — Outcome 36883966, $5,681 (61% win rate)
- 0x2a01...6397 — Outcome 36883966, $5,524 (80% win rate)
- 0x5011...220e — Outcome 36883966, $4,333 (57% win rate)
- 0xa108...abd3 — Outcome 36883966, $4,211 (94% win rate)
- 0xf92a...a517 — Outcome 36883966, $3,940 (93% win rate)
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