When will this South Carolina Senate market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve on August 11, 2026, based on the outcome of the special Republican primary and any potential runoff.

What happens if no special Republican primary takes place?

If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate primary occurs by November 2, 2026, the market will resolve according to the official Republican nominee for the November 3, 2026 Senate election.

Where can I check the current odds for Darline Graham Nordone?

Current market odds, trading activity, and smart-money signals are available on the PolySpotter page for this prediction market.

Part of: South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Q: What is the Darline Graham Nordone Senate prediction market?

It is a Polymarket prediction market on whether Darline Graham Nordone will become the Republican nominee for the 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.

This prediction market asks whether Darline Graham Nordone will become the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in South Carolina. It resolves based on the winner of the 2026 special Republican primary, including any runoff, or the official Republican nominee if no special primary occurs by November 2, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff. If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election. If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,140.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, USA Election, Senate Primary, South Carolina, primary elections, Republican Primary, Lindsey Graham

Notable Trades

Sharp serial trader backing No

A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge sold Yes at 60-61%, signaling meaningful conviction on No.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and has made $1.24 million on $14.3 million invested.
The wallet has traded 56 events and 77 markets, indicating a seasoned cross-market process rather than a one-off bet.
Selling Yes at 60-61% is equivalent to buying No around 40%, while Yes has since fallen to 55%.

$5,032 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp bettor buys Yes

A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.12M profit is making a fresh $1,946 bet on Yes at 71¢.

This bettor wins 84% of 170 resolved trades and is up $1.12M lifetime.
The entry is a fresh $1,946 Yes position at 71¢, near the current 72% market price.
The wallet has traded across 46 events and 61 markets, indicating a consistent, experienced approach.

$3,665 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp bettor buys Yes

A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.12M profit is making a fresh $1,946 bet on Yes at 71¢.

This bettor wins 84% of 170 resolved trades and is up $1.12M lifetime.
The entry is a fresh $1,946 Yes position at 71¢, near the current 72% market price.
The wallet has traded across 46 events and 61 markets, indicating a consistent, experienced approach.

$1,368 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp bettor buys Yes

A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.12M profit is making a fresh $1,946 bet on Yes at 71¢.

This bettor wins 84% of 170 resolved trades and is up $1.12M lifetime.
The entry is a fresh $1,946 Yes position at 71¢, near the current 72% market price.
The wallet has traded across 46 events and 61 markets, indicating a consistent, experienced approach.

$2,880 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp bettor adds to No position

A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and 42-point edge is adding to a substantial No position at 30¢.

This bettor has won 82% of 1,427 resolved positions and earned $754,059 in profit.
The wallet is adding $2,000 to an existing $16,369 No position, signaling continued conviction.
The 30¢ entry implies the trader values No at considerably more than its current market price.

$1,171 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor adds to No position

A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and 42-point edge is adding to a substantial No position at 30¢.

This bettor has won 82% of 1,427 resolved positions and earned $754,059 in profit.
The wallet is adding $2,000 to an existing $16,369 No position, signaling continued conviction.
The 30¢ entry implies the trader values No at considerably more than its current market price.

$2,416 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor adds to No position

A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and 42-point edge is adding to a substantial No position at 30¢.

This bettor has won 82% of 1,427 resolved positions and earned $754,059 in profit.
The wallet is adding $2,000 to an existing $16,369 No position, signaling continued conviction.
The 30¢ entry implies the trader values No at considerably more than its current market price.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor buys Yes

A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.12M profit is making a fresh $1,946 bet on Yes at 71¢.

This bettor wins 84% of 170 resolved trades and is up $1.12M lifetime.
The entry is a fresh $1,946 Yes position at 71¢, near the current 72% market price.
The wallet has traded across 46 events and 61 markets, indicating a consistent, experienced approach.

$11,662 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp bettor buys Yes

A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.12M profit is making a fresh $1,946 bet on Yes at 71¢.

This bettor wins 84% of 170 resolved trades and is up $1.12M lifetime.
The entry is a fresh $1,946 Yes position at 71¢, near the current 72% market price.
The wallet has traded across 46 events and 61 markets, indicating a consistent, experienced approach.

$1,946 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

0xb1ca...1705 — No, $33,952 (58% win rate)
0x23d8...0288 — Yes, $28,325 (83% win rate)
0x9d84...1344 — No, $23,863 (43% win rate)
0xecaa...77a9 — Yes, $22,747 (72% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — No, $22,296
0x8671...d4b7 — No, $21,356 (81% win rate)
0x7e59...7b8b — No, $17,934 (47% win rate)
0xd24b...ef76 — Yes, $17,289 (73% win rate)
0xa2dc...49f9 — Yes, $16,999 (76% win rate)
0x44c1...ebc1 — No, $16,982 (60% win rate)

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

1dSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner$32,140 tracked9 signalsPoliticsElectionsPrimariesUSA ElectionSenate PrimarySouth Carolinaprimary electionsRepublican PrimaryLindsey Graham

Yes

45¢

55¢

Yes

45¢

55¢

Price History — “No”

59¢

45¢

32¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction