Part of: NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,014.

Categories: Elections, Politics, Primaries, primary elections, House Primary, Democratic Primary, Nebraska Primary

Notable Trades

Large thin-market No bet

A $7.3k No bet on a thin local primary market is notable because it was nearly 4x recent volume and the market has already moved sharply in that direction, though the wallet lacks a strong win-rate record.

This bettor put $7.3k on No in a thin political primary market.
The bet was nearly 4x the market’s recent 24h volume, a strong conviction signal.
No has already moved from a 61¢ entry to about 76¢, so the trade caught a sharp move.

$7,328 on No | Wallet win rate: 19%

Elite political sharp buying Yes

Sharp political bettor with 85% win rate and $1.29M lifetime profit bought Yes in a relatively quiet NE-02 nominee market after a notable price move.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.29M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 114 events with an 85% win rate.
The $1.7K buy was 87% of the market’s 24h volume, adding conviction in a quiet market.

$1,687 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

0xa5e3...4d7e — Outcome 74835254, $9,608 (19% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 74835254, $8,117
0xc684...2228 — Outcome 74835254, $1,673 (78% win rate)
0x0781...c4ff — Outcome 74835254, $400
0x38e5...95e7 — Outcome 74835254, $329 (77% win rate)
0x63fd...5484 — Outcome 74835254, $308
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 74835254, $230
0x22c6...f5ed — Outcome 74835254, $215
0x57a5...5097 — Outcome 74835254, $173
0x8e81...258d — Outcome 74835254, $169

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Uranium handover by June

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Iran deal announced by May

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Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?

ResolvedNE-02 Democratic Primary Winner$9,014 tracked2 signalsElectionsPoliticsPrimariesprimary electionsHouse PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryNebraska Primary

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.