Part of: Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $10,726.

Categories: Politics, Likud, Elections, Global Elections, Israel, netanyahu, Israel Election, International Election Props

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader adds to No

A highly active, profitable trader added a sizable No position amid coordinated positioning across three markets in the same election event, and the market has since moved further in that direction.

  • This trader is up about $565,000 across 1,280 resolved bets and has added to an existing No position.
  • The trader has positioned about $20,500 across three markets in the same election event.
  • No was bought at 86¢ and is now around 95¢, with a 25× volume spike versus the historical average.

$10,726 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

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Lula or Flávio Bolsonaro wins

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Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?$10,726 tracked1 signalPoliticsLikudElectionsGlobal ElectionsIsraelnetanyahuIsrael ElectionInternational Election Props
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

Price History — “No”
102¢
84¢
67¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

2026-10-28 00:31 UTC

$10,726 on No at 86¢

86¢→100¢↑14¢

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Israel-Iran ceasefire holds through year-end
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Iran deal before June
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Fed rate decision remains uncertain
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Iran keeps airspace open
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Hormuz lift before June
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Trump makes broad Iran concessions
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Will Trump agree to Iranian tr…Will Trump agree to unfreeze I…Will Trump agree to withdraw t…
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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends…Iran x Israel/US conflict ends…
Israel remains in Lebanon
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