What are the Polymarket odds for a GameStop-eBay acquisition?

The live Yes and No prices represent the market-implied probability of a GameStop acquisition or merger with eBay. Check the current market page for the latest odds.

When does the GameStop and eBay prediction market resolve?

The market resolves by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, unless a qualifying official announcement occurs earlier.

What qualifies as a Yes outcome in this market?

An official announcement from eBay or GameStop stating that eBay, eBay Inc., or a relevant parent company will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop qualifies for Yes.

What smart money activity is tracked for this market?

PolySpotter tracks $51,764 in smart money for this market across one signal, with recent alerts showing both Yes and No positioning from clustered wallets and individual traders.

Part of: Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Q: Will GameStop acquire eBay?

This market resolves Yes if eBay or eBay Inc. officially announces an acquisition or merger with GameStop by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves No.

This prediction market asks whether GameStop will officially acquire or merge with eBay or eBay Inc. by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market currently includes $51,764 in tracked smart money and five recent alert headlines; live Yes and No odds are available on the market page.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify. An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

20 smart money signals detected, totaling $461,660.

Categories: Acquisitions, Finance

Notable Trades

Serial trader scaling into No

A highly active trader added a $51.8K No position amid a 642x volume spike, creating a notable directional signal despite an already substantial No holding.

A serial cross-market bettor with 534 resolved trades and $244K in lifetime profit added $51.8K to No.
Trading volume was 642 times the historical average, while the market moved 2 percentage points toward No.
The wallet already held $98K in No, so this is an increase in an existing conviction rather than a fresh position.

$51,764 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

7-wallet funded cluster buys Yes

Seven wallets sharing a funder are positioning for the unlikely Yes outcome, making this coordinated flow worth monitoring despite the lead wallet's modest track record.

Seven wallets tied to one funder are collectively betting on Yes, with $6,960 in coordinated flow.
The trade converts to buying Yes around 13¢, implying the group sees a meaningful chance of an eBay–GameStop deal by 2026.
The lead wallet is profitable overall at $36,800, though its 65% win rate is not exceptionally sharp.

$6,960 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

88% winner buying NO

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a niche long-dated M&A market.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $331K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 34 events with $294K in tracked activity.
Buying No at 88¢ signals confidence that a GameStop-eBay deal will not be announced by 2026.

$2,379 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

88% winner buying NO

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a niche long-dated M&A market.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $331K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 34 events with $294K in tracked activity.
Buying No at 88¢ signals confidence that a GameStop-eBay deal will not be announced by 2026.

$6,844 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

88% winner buying NO

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a niche long-dated M&A market.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $331K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 34 events with $294K in tracked activity.
Buying No at 88¢ signals confidence that a GameStop-eBay deal will not be announced by 2026.

$3,520 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Elite cross-market sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved-bet win rate bought Yes on a speculative long-dated acquisition market.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.6M lifetime.
They have traded across 75 events and 90 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
Entry at 13¢ implies a high-upside thesis if GameStop-eBay acquisition odds are mispriced.

$2,199 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

88% winner buying NO

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a niche long-dated M&A market.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $331K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 34 events with $294K in tracked activity.
Buying No at 88¢ signals confidence that a GameStop-eBay deal will not be announced by 2026.

$1,057 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp veteran buying NO

A proven profitable wallet with 1,042 resolved bets bought $3.8k of No despite only a weak low-activity signal.

This bettor has won 77% of 1,042 resolved bets and is up $121,844 lifetime.
They bought $3,825 of No at 85¢, a meaningful size for the market’s recent activity.
The trade backs the simpler thesis that no GameStop-eBay deal is announced by the end of 2026.

$3,825 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable sharp buys long-shot Yes

Sharp profitable wallet with a 77% record and $136k lifetime P&L is effectively buying Yes on a speculative M&A market despite only a weak activity signal.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $136k lifetime.
They put $3.4k behind the long-shot Yes side at 16¢.
Entry at 16¢ implies a roughly 6x payout if GameStop announces an eBay acquisition.

$3,385 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Elite serial cross-market bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved win rate bought $8.5k of No, making the wallet track record the main signal.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $330k lifetime.
They have traded across 25 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
The $8.5k No buy at 85¢ backs a clear view that a GameStop-eBay deal is very unlikely.

$8,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%